Features of modeling of economic systems in conditions of uncertainty

Abstract

The current stage of development of economic systems is characterized by high uncertainty, which significantly complicates their management. In the process of managerial decisions making, the problem of predicting the behavior of the system and the external environment is arises. The results of the forecasts require constant adjustment, which allows us to adapt to changes in the environment and flexibly respond to their negative impact. Modeling economic systems makes it possible to carry out many forecasts for various scenarios, depending on the dynamic formation of various situations of significant complexity and leads to an improvement in their management. Economic systems of different levels are in difficult situations and have an indefinite character of development, which makes it impossible to use traditional methods of mathematical modeling to select strategies for their safe development. Therefore, it is necessary to determine modeling methods that allow for timely and informed decision-making aimed at reducing the level of uncertainty in the functioning of economic systems.